If this is right, the Ohio GOP is in big trouble.
Here are the story and the crosstabs. From the crosstab page:
In an election for Governor of Ohio today, 6/13/06, Democrat Ted Strickland defeats Republican Ken Blackwell, according to a SurveyUSA poll conducted for WCPO-TV Cincinnati, WKYC-TV Cleveland, and WYTV-TV Youngstown. Strickland, currently representing Ohio's 6th District in Congress, gets 53%. Blackwell, currently Ohio Secretary of State, gets 37%. Strickland gets 89% of Democrat votes. Blackwell gets 72% of Republican votes. 20% of Republicans cross over and vote for the Democrat. Independents prefer Democrat Strickland by 19 points. Strickland leads by 4 among men and by 27 among women, a 23-point Gender Gap. Blackwell runs even with Strickland among voters under age 35, and in Western Ohio.(Emphasis added.)
U.S. Senate: In an election for United States Senator from Ohio today, 6/13/06, Democratic challenger Sherrod Brown ousts Republican incumbent Mike DeWine... Brown, who represents Ohio's 13th District in Congress, wins by 9 points, 48% to 39%. Brown gets 85% of Democrat votes. DeWine gets 73% of Republican votes. Brown wins by 14 points among Independents. Brown wins by 2:1 in Eastern Ohio. DeWine leads in Western and Central Ohio. Brown leads by 21 points among low-income voters. Other income groups are tied. DeWine leads by 13 among the youngest voters. Brown leads by 22 among the oldest voters.
Filtering: 1,000 Ohio adults were interviewed 6/10/06 - 6/12/06. Of them, 844 were registered to vote. Of them, 507 were judged to be "likely" voters. Crosstabs reflect Likely Voters.
Of course the campaign hasn't really started. But before waving this off, remember: SurveyUSA was deadly accurate in the Cleveland mayor's race.